Beware False Confidence

The convention bounce appears to be over now, with national and state-by-state polls mostly returning to where they were the next-to-last week of August.

But we’ve still got six and a half weeks left, folks. Forty-seven days. That’s an eternity in modern presidential elections. Anything could happen.

The economy will eventually stabilize, if it hasn’t already. It’s hard to see anything catastrophic happening, but there could be gradual downticks, layoffs, inflation. None of this looks good for McCain. But it also doesn’t automatically translate into Advantage: Obama.

Obama, Biden, and their major surrogates really need to start emphasizing what they will do, instead of continuing to beat up McCain. The Arizona senator is seriously taking care of his own demise just fine.

The public is starting to have good reason to run away from the insider and the newcomer, but they need to be compelled to run toward the alternative.

It’s time to land to blow-out punch.

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